Not a time to want Shero's job

Well Pens fans, here we are again, left licking our wounds after another ugly exit from Lord Stanley's annual tournament, albeit this time it was in the Eastern Conference Finals, not the Quarter-Finals.  Despite winning two series rather handily, the nature of this exit given the health and depth of this team seems to be sitting about as poorly with Pens Nation as last year's meltdown against the Flyers.  Getting swept, and scoring all of two goals in four games plus nearly two periods of OT is not going to win you much love when your team was again considered a favorite if not THE favorite to win the Stanley Cup.  An 0 for 15 power play did not help in any way either, so here we sit, again.  The fan base is VERY agitated, and there are many different calls for action to deal with a fourth exit from the playoffs without the hardware since 2009.  The most noted proposal from many Pittsburgh fans is the "Bylsma must go," faction.  You know, the guy who took the Pens from an ugly 10th place in February of 2009, then rattled off an 18-3-4 record to put the Pens in the fourth seed, before avenging the loss in the 2008 Stanley Cup Finals to Detroit, bringing Pittsburgh their third Stanley Cup!  The same Dan Bylsma who took a team that lost its best players mid year, and despite being ruled out of contention, guided that team to the third best record in the NHL, and had a 3-1 lead on a dynamic Tampa team that went to the Eastern Conference Finals, before losing to Boston, the eventual Cup Champions.  That run was held in such esteem, that Bylsma was awared the Jack Adams award, given to the NHL's coach of the year.   This is the same guy who reached 200 regular season wins the fastest of anybody in the NHL, and was named in a poll of NHL players as the coach they would most like to play for.  He has a record of 201-93-25 as the coach of the Pens, and after his Stanley Cup ring, the Penguins have been in the top four of the LEAGUE in terms of points each year.

So why would you think of something as insane as getting rid of THIS guy?

In the post season,  Bylsma's Penguins have badly underperformed, losing to Montreal in the Conference Semis in 2010, laying an egg on home ice in the decisive seventh game.  They then lost to Tampa, after holding a 3-1 lead in the series, getting shut out on home ice in Game 7 in the Conference Quarter-Finals in the 2010-11 series.  Last season, after having the second best record in the East, the Penguins imploded in the first round against the Flyers.  They took multi goal leads in the first two games on home ice, gave up the lead in both games, losing them both.  They got creamed in Game 3, and looked totally lost, before succumbing in six games.  Shero took the off season and trade deadline to address every percieved weakness from back up goaltending, to some size and nasty in front of our net, to some grit and leadership on the forward lines, bringing in Vokoun, Morrow, Murray, Iginla, and Jokinen to an already stacked team.   Morrow and Iginla were both captains of their former teams, and hungry tough veterans who could still put the puck in the net.

Well, after handling two teams who were not the caliber of the Pens in the first two rounds, it seemed as if Disco had the monkey off of his back.  He had reached the Conference Finals, and short of a disaster, most felt that he had secured his job at a minimum, and at a maximum, had his second Cup in reach.  Well, said disaster occurred, as noted, with Pittsburgh getting swept by Boston, and many people questioning the decisions or lack thereof by the head coach.  Let me say that Pittsburgh could pretty easily have won 3 of those 4 games, with the very ugly game two on home ice being the notable exception.  It was notable in that it was one of, if not the worst playoff performance I have witnessed personally.  There is a faction who correctly note that the players, especially the stars who make millions are the ones who play, not the coach.  But, while true there were a number of questionable decisions by Bylsma that do make him appear rigid, too much in tune with the grinders v the best skilled players, and unable to put a game plan together to react to a team who was preventing the Pens from "getting to their game" as he says so often.

First, and this was apparent throughout the playoffs, but Pittsburgh's talent differential masked it in the first two rounds, was the stubborn use of stretch passes and stick handling to gain the offensive zone resulting in turnovers, and odd man breaks the other way.  It is pretty accepted knowledge in the NHL, that the time and space for fancy plays that exists in the regular season always disappears in the playoffs (unless you are playing Pittsburgh), yet the Penguins under Bylsma again seemed to ignore that fact while getting burned time and again with blue line or neutral zone turnovers.

Second, and related to this issue is the lack of traffic around the net that most teams use when facing a hot goaltender v picking corners of the net or making that last perfect pass that never gets there.  Maybe Bylsma told the players to get to the net?  Well if he did, they did not care enough to listen.  The front of the net on both ends of the ice seems like a no fly zone for Pittsburgh.  That cannot be in the NHL playoffs.


Third, the misuse of Jarome Iginla as a left wing on the second line or demoting the future Hall of Famer to the third line for a game so that Crosby could keep his line intact.  If you drop Kunitz to the Malkin line, you reunite last year's best line in hockey in Malkin, Neal and Kunitz, while giving Crosby and Dupuis a Hall of Fame 1,000 point plus tough right winger.  If the Crosby line were doing anything or the Malkin line were doing anything, maybe you can excuse this.  But nobody but Kunitz from those lines, registered a point in the series, so why would you not at least at this late juncture put Iginla where he is comfortable? 

Not taking advantage of home ice to get favorable line matchups was another highly criticized no-move by Bylsma. 

Fifth, the short handed goal issue partially created by having Malkin on the point on the power play v Paul Martin, who is the best puck distribution guy, a key element on any power play, and a defenseman, which may have cut down on the odd man breaks against on our power plays.  The three short handed goals against leads all playoff teams.

The decison to put a power play unit and most especially (in this playoffs) high risk players like Letang and Malkin on the ice with 30 plus seconds to go in Game 3 against Ottawa, as opposed to defensive minded players to protect a 1-0 lead was highly questionable.  Every possible mistake was made and instead of a 3-0 stranglehold on a series, the Pens almost let Ottawa make a series of it.

Sixth, leaving a guy like Simon Despres on the bench while players like Engelland, eventually Eaton, and often time Niskanen were liabilities.  Despres is a big puck moving defenseman who can be physical yet he sat since mid way through series one.  He was a good partner to Letang during the year, who frankly looked either great or HORRIBLE the whole playoffs.

Similarly, Beau Bennett seemed to prove that the playoff stage was not too big for him, and his size and skill would have landed him ice time on any other team but ours I would think.  Bennett did get some time late in the Bruins series, but his use or lack thereof seems to underscore the other Bylma crticism that he favors plumbers like himself too much v pure talent.  Would Brandon Saad be a part of the Penguins playoff run if drafted by Pittsburgh, or would he have been toiling down in WBS?

The young Penguins, beginning to make a splash in 2006-07 and through the 2008-09 championship team seemed to laugh off adversity and stick it in your ass when you thought you had your foot on their throats.  That swagger and mental toughness helped launch my already insane love for this team to scary heights!  However, it seems that for the past two or three years, any hint of post season adversity sends this team into a bewildered, lack of confidence mode that is frustrating to watch.

Finally, there is the eye test.  I doubt anybody would argue that Boston has more talent than Pittsburgh.  However, Julien's team seemed to execute a game plan that all 20 players lived shift in and shift out.  Clog the neutral zone, play defense first, protecting your net, create offense off of the transition game created by sloppy Pittsburgh puck management, win the puck battles, funnel shots to the point and crash the net.  They played like a team, executed a game plan that was simple but effective, yet Pittsburgh never changed their approach.  As alarming as that was, it alarmed me more to hear commentary from Pittsburgh players and the coach that they ran into a hot goaltender and there was nothing they would do differently other than get pucks in the net?  If you truly believe that, then you are in denial, and there would be very little reason to believe that anything will change in the post season next year. 

Does that mean I am sure they should fire Bylsma?  First, you have to know who you would want to replace him, and how or why he would have better results.  Is the philosophy described above that of the coach, or is it the same from somebody higher up in the organization?  Would you find it scary to see Disco behind the bench of the Rangers?  Would adding an opposite type personality in place of a key assistant add some balance to the Bylsma system?  I listed a number of issues I see and saw again in this post season, but do I want them to fire Bylma?  I don't want them to, no, BUT I am not sure how they think they will progress past the types of issues noted above to complete another quest for the Cup unless they do.   It is a decision I would not have to make given the kind of guy that Disco Dan is, as well as his many positive contributions to this organization.  But I am not sure there is a choice if you want post season success.  That makes me sad to say, and I hope that there is a solution that will work other than this one, but I cannot think of one.

 

I will handle other RS off season decisions in separate posts.

Loving Flower does not mean Losing your Mind

I am kind of known as the local Pens freak at my gym, at my office, on my street, and well just about everywhere.  As such, I cannot tell you how many people ask me daily when the Pens should put Flower back in over Vokoun.  Their facial expressions are priceless when I say, "Either next year, after TWO bad games by Vokoun, or never."  It makes my day.  I know, I am kind of an asshole, but nonetheless, it makes my day.  I  get a lot of heated replies ranging from he is a great goalie, to a great guy, to the Pens would not be here without him, to maybe he is just struggling with adjusting to being a new dad.  Is he a great goalie?  Well he has been to the Finals twice and won the Stanley Cup in 2009, so I would say he is at least an excellent goalie.  Is he a great guy?  I got the chance to bowl with him one night for Make a Wish, and I can confirm from that night and all other accounts Fleury is a GREAT guy.  Would the Pens be here without him?  Well, he sure has been a BIG part of the Penguins's recent successes, and when you look at other teams who have great personnel, but not won a Cup or been to the Finals in recent memory, I would say that it is true that the Pens as a franchise would not be here without the contributions of Marc Andre Fleury.  Is he possibly struggling adjusting to being a new father?  He would not be human if he were not.  The thing is people.....THAT NONE OF THAT IS RELEVANT TO THE CURRENT SITUATION.  We are not in kindygarten guys and dolls.  We are not part of the pussification of America when speaking of big time sports in America.  (Thanks Matt Walker) .  We are not in Little League letting you bat until you hit.  Jordan Staal scored a SHG in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals that likely turned the tide from another 6 game loss at the hands of the Wings, to a glorious third Stanley Cup for the good guys.  When he turned down a great offer from King Ray, he found himself in Carolina, while the Pens got Brandon Sutter, cap relief and two top notch blueliners in return.  All of that is being stated so I can get to my main points.  The first is most of the people caterwauling over Flower sitting while Vokoun has gone 6-1 would be the first to use the phrase, "In Shero we trust."  Well, put your money where your mouth is people.  Remember early June last year, after the hated Flyers destroyed the Penguins, and Fleury posted his third straight sub .900 save percentage post season?  That same Ray Shero went out and pryed an undervalued Vokoun away from the Caps for a seventh round draft pick to do two things for the Pens.  First, to give Fleury some rest during the regular season, as many believed that his post season meltdowns had a lot to do with being over played during the regular season.  Well, Vokoun played in 20 of the team's 48 games, while Fleury played in 33 of those games.  Vokoun was 13-4-0-3 with a 2.45 GAA and .919 save percentage, while Fleury was 23-8-0-1 with a 2.39 GAA and .916 save percentage.  So, Vokoun accomplished goal number one of allowing Fleury to stay fresh for the post season.  Then, after pitching a shutout in game one of the Islanders series, Fleury was pulled in favor of Vokoun for Game 5.  Fleury went 2-2, posting a .834 save percentage and a very bloated 4.63 GAA while looking bewildered at times.  Since then Vokoun has gone 6-1, the Penguins have rather easily handled the Islanders and Senators, while Vokoun is 3rd in GAA at 1.85 and 2nd in save percentage at .941.  What's more is he was 29 seconds and a series of boneheaded plays by his mates away from being 7-0 before losing to Ottawa in double overtime 2-1 in Game 3 of that series.  It is safe to say that thus far, Vokoun has more than delivered on the second part of the reason for his presence, in a BIG way.  So, tell me again what Vokoun has done to deserve a benching in favor of Fleury?  Oh yeah, the pedigree of Fleury some say....well ladies, Vokoun has appeared in 700 regular season NHL games posting a .917 save percentage and a 2.55 GAA, while Fleury has appeared in 467 regular season NHL games posting a .910 save percentage and a 2.66 GAA.  These numbers are very comparable to Vokoun's but Vokoun's are BETTER.  Well, look at his post season pedigree compared to Vokoun's.  Fleury has played in far more post season games, 79 to be exact, and he has a .904 save percentage and a 2.72 GAA.  Conversely, Vokoun has only played in 18 post season games, but he does have a .930 save percentage and 2.22 GAA.  Yes, Fleury has more playoff experience, yes he has two trips to the Finals and a Stanley Cup, Vokoun, until now never got a sniff at either, with his prior post season experience in net being with Nashville, perennial one and done playoff fodder.  But, Fleury's last four post seasons netted him .891, .899, .834, and .891.  His GAA's during that stretch?  2.78, 2.52, 4.63, and 3.40!  Hence the presence of Vokoun in the first place, whose 2M salary, combined with Fleury's 5M salary has the Pens at 7M invested in the net.  That will tell you how important two dummies like Ray Shero and Mario Lemieux thought it was to have a safety net behind Fleury.

 

Folks, again, I really do like the Flower, and his athleticism and ability to make unreal saves is well........ unreal.  That said, as the statistics above would suggest, he also has an ability to let in too many goals that he should stop, especially in the post season.  Vokoun, on the other hand, is not as athletic, but for the most part, stays in position and makes the saves he should make.  And on the rare occasion where he has looked a little shaky in this post season, he has shook it off to stand tall when the team needed him to.  They are to classy to say it, so we will never know for sure, but the eye test suggests that this team is calmer and plays a more steady game with Vokoun's veteran presence in the net.  So, despite all of the postives about Fleury as a player and as a human, I do not see why the Penguins would give the job back to Fleury when a veteran goaltender with slightly better numbers lifetime, has been a calming influence.  One who should be 7-0 in this year's post season, and is among the top players in net statistically while Fleury is usually middle of the pack.  And by the way, it is a BUSINESS!!!  I made the case that despite my deep admiration for Fleury, that this job belongs to Vokoun right now, but let me part with another shot.  This decision is bigger than Vokoun v Fleury folks.  There are twenty eight players who dressed for the Penguins this year who want their name on Lord Stanley's Cup.  There is a coaching and scouting staff with many hours of their time and skin in the game.  Hell, Disco's job was likely in jeopardy if there was another first round exit, as well as those of his staff.   There are stitches, bruises, broken bones, jaws, lost teeth, hours of practice,travel, and film watching devoted to the singular pursuit of the Stanley Cup.  Crosby rushed back with a decimated jaw bone to win the Cup.  Jarome Iginla and Brenden Morrow waived no trade clauses for a chance to win the Cup, and Iginla pretty much strong armed his way here to pursue that lifelong dream.  So, whomever people like Shero, Bylsma, and 66 think gives the Penguins the best chance of accomplishing that goal should be in net, despite how nice they might be, or their past accomplishments.  And, lest I forget, we fans have skin in the game too.  Do yinz realize how fortunate yinz are to see the second golden age of Penguins hockey?  Do you realize that this ownership group spends to the Cap every year, in order to give us the best possible product?  Did you know that each home playoff game generates seven figures of direct revenues to the Penguins organization?   That deep playoff runs add more dollars in souvenir sales?   If you saw the commerce being done in countless bars you would see how much tax revenues and income for bar owners, staff, and arena workers is generated based on this team making a deep playoff run v golfing after round one. Do you think that more home games would mean it is more likely that these owners can keep spending to the cap so that we continue to enjoy excellent hockey, as well as provide income to thousands of local Pittsburghers?  Yeah, I love Fleury too, but I did not lose my mind.  Play the guy most suited to keep this run alive, and you can love them both.  They are BOTH OUR guys!  Go Pens!

 

PS:  I forgot to touch on the "where does that leave him for next year" mantra.  Well, let's deal with that next year.  The cap is falling, the sky is not.....The body of work that will determine who the Penguins want to keep and who they can keep is still incomplete until this playoff run is over.  The demands of the free agents are as yet unknown, the availability via trade of other players is unknown.  He may yet wind up in the nets and get that monkey off his back, or he may not, but there are too many other variables to worry about next year, when you are 8 wins away from winning the toughest trophy in all of sports.  We are in the equivalent of the Final Four except the one that takes huge balls to be in!  As the Ole 29'er would say......Buckle Up Baby Are You Kidding Me!!

Halfway to Heaven

Ok my fellow yinzers, our beloved flightless birds have now won two playoff series, and await what is likely to be the Boston Bruins in the Eastern Confernce Finals unless the Rags can pull off a miracle.  Here is to hoping they at least extend the series a game or two.  I don't know about you, but the Penguins early exits in recent post seasons has me out of practice for this marathon.  Is it me, or does it feel like they were in two tough back and forth battes?  In reality, they are 8-2, and were never in any real danger of elimination.  Maybe recent history played a part in that feeling, or the fact that Marc Andre Fleury was chased seven games ago, but man, I am not sure I could live through a six or seven game series, or one where we fell behind, though in 2009, I very much believed in the Penguins in both the Caps and Red Wings series' even when they fell behind two games to none.  I hope to get that swagger back for this playoff run, my life may depend on it!  Instead of blowing up my Facebook page with all of the ramblings in my head, I figured I would take our halfway point in the March to the Cup to put most of my thoughts in one place.  First and foremost, Ray Shero, you are the best GM in all of sports.  All of the late season acquisitions have performed pretty much as expected in this post season.  I know, some are a bit disappointed in Morrow, but he has done okay, and has been coming on late in this series.  He will be very valuable in the Bruins series in my opinion.  Murray has been the shot blocking monster he is supposed to be, Iginla has more than a point per game, and Juicy has added depth and versatility to a lineup that is tough to crack, but he has delivered when called upon.  Now to give a recap of the statistical performance of the Penguins that I find interesting.  First, if you look at playoff points leaders, after David Krejci of Boston who has 17 points to lead the league, the Penguins fill out the remaining positions of the top 5 with Malkin, Letang, Crosby, and Iginla in that order having 16, 16, 15, and 12 points.  The Pens boast 4 of the top 5 scorers in the post season.  Crosby and Dupuis are tied for the league lead in goals with 7, and James Neal is coming on like a freight train right behind with 6 goals, giving Pittsburgh 3 of the top 5 goal scorers in the playoffs.  Neal in fact has 5 goals and 2 assists in his past TWO games after a rather sluggish start to his post season.  As far as netminding, despite not starting the first 3 games, Tomas Vokoun is second in wins in the NHL after a three way tie for first between Lundqvist, Rask, and Quick.  If not for a mind numbing display of stupidity by the Malkin, Kunitz, Letang, and frankly Byslma in the waning seconds of game 4, Vokoun would be tied for first in wins despite playing 3 less games than the leaders.  He also boasts a 1.85 goals against and a .941 save percentage putting him in the top 3 in both categories amongst playoff goaltenders.  I would say Shero's move there is paying the proper dividends no?  Kris Letang leads the NHL in assists in the playoffs with 13, while Geno is right behind him with 12 assists.  Letang also leads the NHL in plus/minus at a plus 7.  That is truly amazing given the number of goals he has been on the ice for, and speaks volumes about his ability to just take over games when he is on.  For example, he looked pitiful in the first period plus of game four, directly contributing to both Ottawa goals scored early.  Then he took over the game, getting 4 assists, followed by a goal and 2 assists last night.  So in the last five periods of play, Letang has added 7 points, while also playing sound defense. 

Daniel Alfredsson took a lot of heat for referring to the thought that his Sens would have a tough time recovering for their 3-1 deficit in the series due to the depth and skill of the Penguins.  Well, the Penguins have five players who have MORE than a point per game in these playoffs including Malkin, Letang, Crosby, Iginla, and Neal.  Also Dupuis, Kunitz, and Martin are flirting with a point per game.  Umm, that would be what they call scoring balance!  As for team statistics, the Penguins still have the most goals per game of the remaining playoff teams at 4.27 goals per game, and the worst goals against per game at 2.54.  I am hopeful that the Pens can work a bit on the goals against, but when you score more than 4 and allow less than 3, it is still a pretty good goal differential.  Special teams have been a positive for Pittsburgh, with the power play tops in the league, clicking at 28.3% and the Penalty Kill second only to Chicago at 89.7%.  That is a combination of special teams stats that could net you the Cup.  One caution about the stunning special teams play is that the Penguins have also given up 3 short handed goals, the most in the league for the playoffs.  That is an area that needs to be locked down going forward. 

Another note to consider going forward is that Pittsburgh is 8-1 in their past nine games against both Boston and New York, so they have been a bit of match up nightmare for both clubs. What does that all mean?  Probably nothing, as each series is a different animal, and the playoffs are FAR different than regular season games.  That said, it seems as if the Penguins are taking advantage of the depth they can bring to a series to eventually wear an opponent down. Vokoun is making the saves he needs to make, and even after a softie or two in the middle of this series, he always made the saves he needed to make.  What's more is the fact the Penguins also have guys like Brandon Sutter, Brendan Morrow,  and Tyler Kennedy who may not always show up on the score sheet, but tend to do so with BIG goals when they do. The Pens will most likely face Boston in the Conference Finals next week, and the Bruins sure do look like a handful right now.  I was wavering on the Penguins chances against Boston, but I need to remember how a seven game SERIES can unfold with a cumulative effect of a team who can roll out the kind of depth of scoring and toughness that Pittsburgh can.  I am warming to the idea of Pittsburgh returning to the Stanley Cup Finals after a tough 6 game series with Boston.

Pens take a very shaky 2-1 series lead

Okay three games in, and it is already a roller coaster ride for us Pens fans.  After a 5-0 blowout win in the opener, the Penguins blew a 3-1 lead to the Isles at home in Game 2 to lose 4-3 and also give the Islanders some real confidence that they could win this series.  Scary to me, was the fact that it was looking like a movie I had seen before in Game 2, between giving up the lead, taking penalties, making poor puck management decisions, really bad defensive zone structure, and Fleury giving up a couple of questionable goals, despite being stellar early in the game.  Instead of a commanding lead in the series going to Long Island, the Pens had let the Islanders off the mat, and now they really believed they could win this series.  Then in game 3, the Pens fell behind 2-0 early in period one, then came roaring back to go into the second period ahead 3-2.  When Douglas Murray scored late in the second period to put the Penguins up 4-2 going into the third, it really seemed like the Pens had grabbed control of the game, and hopefully the series.  But no, flashbacks again to last year's debacle, and the Pens get outshot 13-3 in the third, give up a shorthanded goal, and another two goal lead to send the game into OT.  Thankfully, Brian Strait took a penalty in OT, and Chris Kunitz scored his second goal of the game off of a beautiful feed from Sidney Crosby to win this game, despite the sloppy play.  Crosby's assist was his third of the game, giving him 2 goals and 3 assists in just two playoff appearances this season.  The Penguins dodged a bullet and now have a 2-1 lead in the series, though it feels a bit shaky to me.  The Penguins got through today's game by going 3 for 5 on the power play, while getting badly outplayed 5 on 5.  They also gave up their second two goal lead in as many games, though this time they overcame that problem to win the game.  The Islanders now really believe they can win this series, and despite being a much less talented team, they are giving the Penguins all they want.  In fact, outside of game one, they have looked like the more composed team for the most part.  That said, Pittsburgh, with a win on Tuesday can take a stranglehold on the series.  Some things I think I think:

Despite the fact that Tomas Vokoun was brought in to be an option should Fleury struggle, and Fleury has had a couple of games where he has let in some questionable goals, he also has a .923 save percentage overall, and has made some huge saves while being let out to dry by his defense.  The issue is that this has been his issue in recent post season play.  Great play getting nullified by morale sapping bad goals at key moments.  That said, I think Fleury should start the next game and his play in that game would dictate if it is Vokoun time.

Evgeni Malkin leads the NHL in playoff points with one goal and five assists, while Jarome Iginla has a goal and four assists.  The damage has mostly been done on the power play, while the five on five play of the Malkin-Iginla-Bennett line has been pretty quiet.  If it were me, I would put Kunitz with Malkin and Iginla with Crosby to try to get better 5 on 5 production, but I sure would not mess with the power play.

Pascal Dupuis leads the NHL in playoff goals with three, and Paul Martin has three assists from the blueline for the Penguins.

I was feeling pretty good about my smarts when Deryk Engelland looked out of place in game two and Simon Despres was in his place.  Then Despres was beaten badly in the first period, leading directly to the first two Islanders goals, and I remembered that I am not that smart.

The Penguins have 12 goals in three games, and nine players scored those goals.

There are too many parts of the Pens game that look just like the Flyers series last year to make me a little uneasy, but I still think that the depth of the Pens will ultimately will make it tough on NYI to win this thing.

Pens win Stanley Cup!

Ok, so I may be a little sarcastic here.....I LOVED the game played by the Penguins last night in their 5-0 drubbing of the Islanders in Game One of the Stanley Cup playoffs. The Penguins chased Evgeni Nabokov, they got physical with John Tavares, their achilles heel, the PK delivered going 4-4, and the power play went 2-4, including a beauty by rookie Beau Bennett.  The world turned upside down, as the Penguins even got a goal from Tanner Glass!  But, yinzers I spoke with everywhere today were convinced that the showing last night likely meant a sweep of the Isles, and a run right to the 4th Cup.  I am more with the Penguins players who correctly enjoyed the moment, then immediately began to put their focus on Game Two Friday night.  10-0 or 2-1, it is only one game of the four necessary to win the series.  Lest you think I am just a hockey Scrooge, in two of the past three first round exits, our flightless Birds handled Montreal 6-3 in game one, chasing Jaroslav Halak in the 2010 first round series, which they ultimately lost in 7 games.  In 2011, the Pens shut out the Lightning 3-0 in Game One, then lost the series, which they led at one point 3-1, in seven games.  I suspect that those experiences, plus the additions of Morrow and Iginla will keep the Pens focused on the task at hand, and I do expect that they will prevail, but calm down folks.  If the Isles storm back and take Game Two, we have a best of five series with both teams even.  Friday night is a big night for Pittsburgh to make a statement about their overall depth and talent being too much for New York.  A New York rebound win, and people, you may have a dog fight to contend with.  After presenting my cautionary tale, let me get back to things that I liked about Pittsburgh last night:

Marc Andre Fleury came out and played a very strong game, hopefully setting up the frame of mind he will need to put recent post season failure behind him;

Pascal Dupuis continues to show the hockey world what kind of player he is, putting home two goals, including the dirty second goal of the game which seemed to deflate the Isles a bit;

Iginla and Jokkinen both continued their hot streaks adding 2 assists each to the scoresheet, while Iggy played a physical game all night long, physical, tough, straight line hockey;

Kris Letang was simply in beast mode, nuff said;

Mark Eaton played a very steady defensive game, and blocked 8 shots;

Crankshaft showed the element missing from the past three playoff disasters by his physicality in front of the net, sending Islanders flying like bowling pins;

Beau Bennett, the "scared" rookie took a Martin to Malkin tip on the boards and roared in on Nabokov and tucked a power play goal in a small space over his shoulder and played tough and smart all night long;

As noted, the Pens won the special team battle with a 4-4 PK effort and a 2-4 PP effort to control the game from the drop of the puck;

Brenden Morrow, though not on the score sheet, played the kind of relentless physical hockey that over the course of the series will take its toll;

Matt Cooke is already under the skin of the NYI, and drawing the early penalty from Brian Strait, put the Pens on the PP which led to the Bennett goal.

Evgeni Malkin to me had a mixed night.  He had two assists, and those cannot be discounted, but he also played some pretty uninspired hockey at times, mixed with rushes where he tried to beat four Islanders and turned the puck over.  You may think I am too hard on Geno, but he earns what Sid earns, wears an A, and after admitting to the fact that he did not deliver in the regular season, turned in an up and down night in my opinion.  Other than the psychological damage it may do to strip it, I can think of several more deserving Penguins in terms of the A.  A step in the right direction, but still not what Geno is capable of.  The other downer are more injuries to both James Neal and Juicy.  With Orpik still day to day and Crosby still out, I would prefer not to keep testing the depth of the team this early in the post season.  I LOVED the game played by Pittsburgh, and love the fact that they quickly deflected the love they were thrown for the win, and turned the attention immediately to Game Two.  Love the focus and physicality, but unlike many others here, I would prefer to take this run game by game.  LETS GO PENS!

Penguins v Isles Round One Baby!

As I sat and watched the Senators score an empty net goal against Boston, allowing them to leapfrog the Islanders, we finally know our round one opponent, the New York Islanders.  Eerily, they were the opponent who derailed the last Penguins "can't miss" Stanley Cup Championship team in the 1992-93 season in round two as David Volek burned Tom Barrasso in OT of Game 7 to crush our dreams of a threepeat.

  I am not saying that to scare you, but just to bring the "easy pickings" crowd back to reality.  I will say that one major difference off the top for this version of the Penguins, is that they are coming off of three disappointing outings out of the past three post seasons as opposed to back to back Stanley Cups, which should make this team a lot hungrier and less prone to assuming all they have to do is to show up to win the Cup.  Add to that, the Penguins added two former captains in Brendan Morrow and Jerome Iginla who are playing great hockey, and both see this as likely their best chance to live a childhood dream and hoist the Stanley Cup.  Both players are tough, gritty leaders who carried their respective teams in Dallas and Calgary.  When added to the nucleus already in place in Pittsburgh, along with the physical Douglas Murray, and versatile, faceoff demon, Jussi Jokinen, the Penguins sure do look like a team that SHOULD come out of the Eastern Conference.  This does not mean that they will, but I will give my summary of the upcoming series below.  First, the Penguins sit atop the Eastern Conference with a record of 36-12, second only to Chicago for the President's trophy and tied for the most wins in the NHL.  They face the Islanders who are 24-17-7 and eighth in the East.  The Penguins lead the league in goals per game at 3.38 goals more than half a goal per game more than the Islanders at 2.81 goals per game.  The Penguins are 12th in goals against at 2.48 goals against per game, and that is also better than the 2.83 goals per game allowed by the Islanders.  Special teams are always key in the playoffs, and if you had to look at an area that could come back to haunt our flightless birds, it is in the penalty kill area, where the Penguins 79.6% PK is 25th in a league of 30 teams, and only Washington has a worse PK of all of the Eastern Conference playoff teams!  The good news is that the Islanders are not much better, with a PK of 80%, good for 21st in the league.  The Penguins power play is clicking at 24.7% for the season, good for second in the NHL, while the Islanders are clicking at 20.4%, good for 11th in the league.  This gives the edge on special teams to the Penguins based on a superior power play, and a very similar penalty kill.  One area to watch is that the Penguins have given up three short handed goals, while the Islanders have not surrendered any.  In the five matchups against the Islanders in the regular season, after losing the first game in January, the Penguins won the next four games by a combined score of 16-5.  Goaltending is critical in the playoffs as well and the Islanders netminder is Evgeni Nabokov who posted a 23-11-7 record, with a 2.50 GAA and .910 save percentage.  Nabby played in 41 of the 48 games the Islanders played, while Fleury and Vokoun split the season with Fleury going 23-8, with a 2.39 GAA and .916 save percentage, while Vokoun was 13-4 with 2.45 GAA and .918 save percentage.   The edge in goaltending goes to Pittsburgh slightly based on an ability to use either goaltender in a tough series, both of whom have slightly better numbers than Nabokov, but Nabokov is more than good enough to steal some games here.  The difference for Pittsburgh to win should be the superior firepower and depth of scoring.  The Islanders have three players with more than 30 points including John Tavares, Brad Boyes, and Matt Moulson, with Tavares leading the way with 47 points.  Michael Grabner is always dangerous, particularly against the Pens, while Josh Bailey and Kyle Okposo add some nice grit and secondary scoring.  Mark Streit and Lubomir Visnovsky anchor the blue line, while former Penguin Brian Strait plays a depth role for the Islanders as well.  The Penguins meanwhile have six players with thirty or more points, with Crosby and Kunitz both netting more than 50 points, while Letang, Neal and Malkin would have also had 40 plus had they played a full season. Crosby was running away with the scoring race prior to a broken jaw, while Kunitz added 52 points, Dupuis 38 points, Letang 38 points, James Neal 36 points, and Geno with 33.  Brandon Sutter added 11 goals and 8 assists in his third line role, with many of his goals of the clutch game winning variety.  On top of this core of the Penguins, at the deadline, they added four players that have been huge for them, with three of them, Jokinen, Morrow and Iginla scoring at nearly a point per game pace, and Murray adding a crease clearing monster that the Penguins had lacked for years.  Jerome Iginla played in 13 games for Pittsburgh, scoring 5 goals and 6 assists, with 4 of his goals coming on the power play.  In addition to the goals, Iginla adds a toughness and leadership to this team that will come in handy for the Penguins.  Then, Brenden Morrow in 15 games added 6 goals and 8 assists, while hitting everything that moves.  His grit in the corners will be like body punches taking a toll in a 15 round fight during the playoffs.  Then, Jussi Jokinen, who will come in handy taking last game faceoffs to protect a lead, or to win an offensive zone possession while trailing late also added 7 goals and 4 assists in his ten games played.  If the Penguins play their game, this is where the difference will come in for Pittsburgh. 
The Islanders also have very little playoff experience, and may tighten up under the pressure cooker of their first post season trip in years.  For the Penguins, they look to redeem themselves for three subpar post season runs since their 2009 Stanley Cup.  Their depth of scoring, toughness and leadership should allow Pittsburgh to handle this series rather handily IF they avoid penalty troubles that will put their wobbly PK on the ice too often.  The Penguins are rounding back to good health and the depth options for Pittsburgh should make them a tough assignment for the Islanders to survive, but please remember a Turgeon less Islanders team in 1992-93 was told the same thing.  I will take the Penguins in five.  Go Pens!!

If the hardware comes home it will be covered with Ray's prints

 

It would take all night in my opinion to list all of the intelligent moves made by Ray Shero that have put the Penguins in the position they have been in since 2007-08, as one of the elite teams in the NHL.  There were many deals that Shero has made for the Penguins that defy logic, but I will briefly mention the Hossa deal for three reasons.  Though many thought the price was high for rental, Hossa put the Penguins over the top in the run to the Finals in 2008, and for my money they don't win the 2009 Cup without learning the lessons of the 2008 Cup run.  Second, though Hossa did become a rental by signing with Detroit, the players given up to acquire him have not amounted to much since the trade was made.  Last, but not least, the "throw in" player Pascal Dupuis is such an integral part of the Penguins success, and at a very cap friendly price, it is hard to believe he was an afterthought at the time of the deal.  Then selling high on Whitney to get Kunitz and Tangradi, then adding Neal and Niskanen for Goligoski are two more high return deals that make the Penguins who they are today.  I will not go too deep into these three trades, as they are well chronicled from past posts.  Let's look at what Ray has done since the bitter disappointment of an early exit to Philadelphia in last year's playoffs.  A series where the grit of the Penguins came into question, as did their defensive play and the post season play of their elite goaltender.  Fast forward to June 4th when Shero makes a BIG move to improve the Penguins chances in this year's post season by trading a 7th round pick to the Capitals for the rights to Tomas Vokoun, giving the Penguins an elite 1-2 punch in the net that not only will allow Fleury to come into the post season a little less fatigued, but give Pittsburgh options should Fleury struggle in the cage this season.  The importance of goaltending in the playoffs cannot be overstated, therefore the importance of this move cannot be overstated either.  Then, when Jordan Staal declined to sign a 10 year, 60 million dollar contract offer, Shero gets Brandon Sutter, as good a third line center as there is in the league, highly touted defensive prospect Brian Dumoulin and the 8th overall pick which netted Pittsburgh Derrick Pouliot, an elite puck moving defensive prospect. You know, the kind of guy who will either be a big part of your blue line, or, if you are King Ray, a guy you turn into a top six forward, and a solid role player down the line.  And do not forget the cap space he opened up with the move (2M this year and 4M next year).  Then Shero moves Zybnek Michalek back to Phoenix in return for a 2012 3rd pick, big defensive prospect Harrison Ruopp, and some traffic cone of a goaltender who will never see the NHL.  That move seemed like a bad move in terms of the return, but we soon learned why.  King Ray was opening up cap space to make a hard run at Zach Parise and Gary Suter as free agency opened.  While Shero pursued these two elite players, the Penguins lost Steve Sullivan a big part of the Penguins' power play success to free agency, and popular tough guy Arron Asham as well.  When the Penguins came up empty on both stars while losing two quality role players, the fan base screamed for him to do something big.  He did nothing of the sort, instead signing depth defenseman Dylan Reese and grinder Tanner Glass to the Penguins.  Glass was brought in to fill the role of Asham and many griped about it.  In reality Glass is younger, blocks more shots, and hits more than AA, so all in, not a bad move, but not exactly one that will take you to the heights of the league.  People squaked, moaned, bitched and screamed.  Somewhere Ray was smiling, as he knew the Penguins had a quality team, a lot of young assets to trade, and thanks to his ability to resist over spending to make a splash, CAP SPACE!!  The season starts and despite a good record, the Penguins too often looked like that same team from last season who could run and gun with the best of them, but who looked too much like last year's team, who despite being a top regular season team, succumbed in the first round for the third straight year.  Their defensive zone play was lacking and Shero goes out in February and signs ex-Penguin Mark Eaton to a one year deal.  Most people thought that this was a curious signing, and likely a waste of the paper it was written on.  Well, the Penguins have gone 22-2 since then, and are near the top of the league in defensive statistics in that time frame. A solid signing, but the Penguins still seemed a little light on crease clearing ability, grit, veteran leadership and net front prescence.  Not to worry, King Ray steps up and gets highly coveted Dallas Stars captain Brenden Morrow and a 2013 third round pick in return for highly touted defensive prospect Joe Morrow and a 2013 fifth round pick. Many locals screamed about losing Joe Morrow, for "an old player" who wasn't scoring much any more.  On losing our Morrow, well, the Penguins have Despres and Bortuzzo, both of whom will be fixtures next year, then Harrington, Dumoulin, Maata, Pouliot, Samuellson and others in WBS who are all highly touted prospects.  They added a veteran leader who is chasing his first cup, who will hit everything that moves and wear down an opponent over a seven game series.  He was the poor man's Iginla, whom the Penguins were not going to be able to sign.  Morrow in 12 games as a Penguin has 11 points, 5G and 6A, while compiling 30 hits and a plus 4.  And he made PK Subban soil himself along the way.  Then Shero sends two second round picks to San Jose to acquire huge defenseman Douglas Murray to add size and nasty to the blue line.  Murray has been a beast, blocking 27 shots, adding 28 hits, a fight and three points in 11 games.  When he hits you, you know it. These two players add a toughness the Penguins have not had in quite some time.  Then came the night I went to bed thinking of how much I hated to see Iginla join the Bruins as reported.  Then I woke up to hear that Shero stole Iginla from the Bruins for two mid level prospects Ben Hanowski and Ken Agostino!  So now the Penguins add the grit, leadership and skill of an 1,100 point captain and certain Hall of Famer while giving up little in tangible value.  Iginla is the type of leader who can put a team on his shoulders and carry them through a playoff series.  Iggy has 8 points (4G and 4A) in 10 games despitea slow start here.  Then, in an under the radar move Shero adds Jussi Jokinen, former 30 goal scorer and faceoff artist for a conditional draft pick.  Jokinen has 8 points (4G and 4A), while winning 52.4% of his faceoffs and playing to a plus 4! 

Injuries to Crosby, Malkin, Neal, Letang, and Martin have meant that we have not seen what this team can do when all the pieces are together, but this group has the team on a 7 game streak right now without the star power mentioned above.  You can see the added dimension of physicality, leadership, and big goal capability as all four of these guys have taken turns carrying this team right now.  The depth is scary and should come in handy during the war of attrition that is the Stanley Cup playoffs.  Vokoun is now 10-1 in his last 11 games as well.  The projected lines if all are healthy would be Crosby centering Iginla and Dupuis, Malkin centering Kunitz and Neal, Sutter centering Morrow and Cooke, and Jokinen will be a fixture on line four with one of several possible linemates. The defensive unit would have Orpik, Letang, Martin, Murray, Niskanen, Eaton, along with Depres and Engo to pick from.  Wow.  As we learned in 1992-93, being the best team on paper does not mean you will win the Cup, but if they do not, it will not be due to the efforts and skills of Ray Shero in identifying and addressing the holes in a quality team to prepare them for a run at the Stanley Cup!  In Shero we trust!

What a difference 19 days makes

Back on March 11th I wrote a post called Ramblings where I talked about the Penguins' needs related to defense and penalty kill v the much requested "winger for Sid."  Well on the 30th of March, despite adding two hard core, if a little long in the tooth, wingers to the team and a defenseman who adds some great PK skills and a much needed net front nastiness, the numbers have changed dramatically.  Mind you, I don't think it is so much the trades, though both Morrow and Iginla will add to the defensive abilities in the forward group, much of the improvement occurred pre-trades.  I assume that if the team stays healthy, the defensive numbers are likely to only improve.  The Penguins riding 3 straight shutouts and a 11 game run where they are giving up less than one goal per game have dramatically improved their statistics in key team areas.  On March 11th, the Penguins were 21st in the league in goals against at 2.92 goals per game against, and as of tonight they are now 4th in the league in that category at 2.33 goals per game allowed.  By the way they are still first in the league in goals for at 3.36 goals for per game, down a bit from the 3.65 goals per game as noted on March 11th.  The Penguins now own a whole month of March without a loss, an NHL record, and their 15 game unbeaten streak they are currently on is secondly only to the 17 game streak the 1992-93 Penguins were on.  Of the past 11 games there have only been two where Pittsburgh has given up more than one goal, and those were both 2 goal games.  Utterly stunning transformation in defensive responsibility.  The penalty kill has improved from 22nd to 16th going from 78.8% to 81%, but looking much more like a key to victory v a reason for losing.  The two extended 5 on 3's recently killed may have been two of the most impressive periods of Penguins hockey I have seen in quite some time.  Though the power play has cooled from 27 plus percent to just over 23%, it is still third in the NHL, and can be quite lethal.  The recent additions should only improve the team and its options in that area also.  Fleury was 24th in GAA at 2.71 GPG and 29th in save percentage at .902.  He is now 12th in GAA at 2.24 GPG and he is now tied for 14th with a .918 save percentage.  Add to that Tomas Vokoun is now 7th in the NHL with a save percentage at .922 and 16th with a 2.33 GAA after pitching 7 straight periods of shutout hockey.  In short, there is a lot of hockey left to be played and the Penguins are getting hit hard by the injury bug as I feared with Paul Martin out 6 weeks or so with a hand injury, Letang out 10 days with a foot injury, and the status of Sidney Crosby's jaw and head uncertain after taking a puck to the face from Brooks Orpik today.  But you also see a tremendous amount of resolve and battle level at all times from this deeply balanced team, and if they can stay off of the injury list, they sure do have the swagger of a championship caliber team.  I am going to try to just enjoy the ride and hope that the additions of two NHL captains who fill offensive, defensive and grit issues in the top 9, and a big physical defenseman will put this highly skilled, but recently underperforming post season team over the top.  LETS GO PENS!!

Welcome to Pittsburgh Jarome

As I write this Jarome Iginla is somewhere overhead en route to Pittsburgh after spending sixteen seasons in Calgary.  He was the captain of the Flames since the 2003-04 season, the first black captain ever named in the NHL.  As of this writing Iginla has 9 goals and 13 assists, nice numbers for sure, but not the kind to cause all of this fuss right?  I write that because many of my friends who are not die hard fans are asking me why is the city on fire as if they just got a King to join their organ I zation as the Canadian people like to say.  Well Jarome may not be a king exactly, but he is hockey royalty, and he may not be a young lion anymore, but he sure is the type of player that will make this team that much tougher to play against in the postseason due to his leaderhip, toughness and skill.  To put this into proper perspective let me recite some of the details of Iginla, a man who has played his entire career in the western conference and therefore not that well known to the more casual of fans here in the east.  Jarome Iginla is a 35 year old right wing who is six foot one inch tall and about 214 pounds.  He is a right handed shooter, something that will be a help to the Penguins' power play.  In the NHL, you are generally considered an offensive weapon if you score 20 goals, a sniper if you get 30, and once you hit 40 and above you walk on some rather rarified ground, especially if you can also hit hard, and fight when necessary.  Well, Jarome Iginla had 20 plus goals in ALL but ONE of his 15 seasons in the NHL, he had two years where he had more than 40 goals and 2 more where he actually had 50 goals or more!  If that were not impressive enough, last season Iginla became only the 7th player in the history of the NHL to score 30 or more goals in 11 straight seasons.  Think about that....only 7 have been consistently strong enough to accomplish that feat EVER.  Iginla has played in 1188 regular season games prior to this season despite his tough as nails style of play and in those games he has scored 516 goals, added 557 assists for a total of 1073 points and 809 penalty minutes.  In the playoffs he has added 28 goals and 21 assists in 54 games played, or nearly a point per game in the post season.  Iginla has also won Gold for Team Canada twice in the Olympics, and he connected with our captain to win the Gold against Team USA in the 2010 Olympics.

 

Add Gold in the 2004 World Cup, Gold in the 1996 World Junior Championships and Gold again in the 1997 Worlds.  Iginla has also won the Rocket Richard as top goal scorer in the NHL twice and the Art Ross trophy for most points once.   The Penguins now boast three former Art Ross Trophy winers in their lineup, the first time an NHL team can claim that since the 1945 Wings.  In addition to the winning and the scoring, Iginla is well known for his ferocious physcial style and his willingness to drop the gloves when necessary.  The 35 year old Iginla is not likely to be the top scoring winger on this team at his age, but he will for sure add tenacity, toughness, hitting and clutch scoring for a team who could use these attributes in the post season.  His style of play will create more room for his linemates as well, and they will take pause before taking liberties with either Malkin or Crosby, whomever Iginla flanks.  If the on ice resume is not enough, he is one of the most well regarded leaders off the ice in the lockerroom, and even more so as a key member of the community based on his charitable contributions and general demeanor.  In short, Iginla is a warrior you would go to battle with anytime, and he is a man you would be proud to know.  Another quality person added to the Penguins organization, and a man who for many reasons I would love to see skating around with that silver chalice over his head in late June.  Welcome to Pittsburgh Jarome Iginla, we are proud to call you a member of our hockey family.

 

 

Don't plan that parade yet

Yo my yinzer brethren, please do not take this post as overly negative.  Just take it as realistic.  Some of you who may read this post may not be old enough to clearly recall that magical 1992-93 season?  You know that one where the Pens had the record breaking win streak of 17 games, won the President's trophy, and had a lineup that included Lemieux, Tocchet, Stevens, Jagr, Mullen, Murphy, Samuelsson, Barasso, et al?  I was as guilty as anyone of planning the parade, and thinking how great it would feel to win 3 Stanley Cups in a row, hell I was thinking 5!  Then came a man named Richard Pilon, and worse yet David Volek, and I can recall sitting n stunned silence on Short Street in Munhall contemplating what might have been for 15 minutes before I could even MOVE.  That does not mean that we should not enjoy EVERY magical moment of this streak and whatever remaining glory there is in our regular season.  In fact, it means you should relish these moments as we are very lucky to have them.  Also the fact that our management team seems to be ALL IN, addressing the weaknesses that led to early playoff exits should excite you and on paper, I do not currently see a team in the East our beloved Pens SHOULD NOT handle in a seven game series.  But several words of caution are to follow:

First, until the ink dries on all possible trades at the deadline, we do not know what we are really competing against this spring.  There are several teams who with the right tweaks could give Pittsburgh fits;

Second, the line up is championship caliber if healthy.  Recent years have not been overly kind in that area, and currently Malkin, Letang and maybe even Fleury are on the shelf.  This cannot happen come playoff time or the big bad Pens do not look as big and bad;

Third, as that 1992-93 team can tell you, and even last year's team can tell you, the pundits saying you are the best team in the conference or the league does not matter.  You will have to face four quality teams and win 4 best of 7 series for the honor of hoisting that Cup.  The playoffs will test your talent, your depth and your desire in ways that are very hard to even describe! Every opponent will fight you for every inch in every game to take that chance at winning away.  That is why the honor of doing so is to me the greatest glory in all of sports. 

So, I am not saying this team cannot win that chalice, nor am I saying that this does not have me full of hope, even more than most.  I am just saying do not ASS-U-ME as you know what they say! However, if the gods are kind on the injury front, maybe just maybe, we can live these moments again!   Go Pens!!

Shero strikes again

Ray Shero is definitely sending a message to the league that he is looking to bring the hardware back to Pittsburgh.  Not that towering defenseman Douglas Murray is the kind of guy who will turn a team around, but Pittsburgh does not need turned around.  What it was lacking was a big, extremely physical and nasty blue liner to fill a need as the fourth or fifth defenseman.  Murray, a 6'3" 245 lb blue liner who hits (56), and also blocks shots with 64 shots blocked this season (top20) fills that bill nicely for Pittsburgh.    Murray also plays significant minutes on the number 4 ranked PK in the NHL, so he should help the Penguins there as well.  The Penguins felt like they needed more grit on the blue line, and though they preferred another top four player, they felt that prices for those guys were too high so they filled in a very specific need instead, for a second round pick this year, and I believe the pick next year is a second rounder that is conditional upon Murray re-signing with the Penguins.  The third round pick acquired in the Morrow deal may have impacted the willingness to make this move since Pittsburgh has two third round picks in the coming draft.  This move also gives the Pens a left handed shot on the blue line which would have made an impact last night, as well as a veteran player who will definitely leave a physical mark on you.  In the playoffs, adding another shot blocker and significant depth at a key position is an added bonus.   Dan Boyle, a teammate of Murray's in San Jose said today that if the Eastern Conference forwards do not know who Douglas Murray is, they will.  The Penguins to me still have chips in Tyler Kennedy, Dustin Jeffrey, and either Deryk Engelland or Robert Bortuzzo, along with prospects and picks to further improve their team for a long playoff run should the right price and player come along. I like this move as well.  Shero is all in baby.

Morrow for Morrow

Sorry, had a busy couple of days and work is crazy so had to scratch most of this out late last night and thanks to Adam Lambert, he posted a video I needed to complete the post on FB today!  So as I sit on another conference call, I can now do my analyis of the Morrow for Morrow for trade the Penguins made yesterday. 

At first, as the news broke, I was not sure what I thought of the move, as I am a big fan of the POTENTIAL I have seen in Joe Morrow.  At one point, I had visions of he and Simon Despres anchoring a large and mobile defense corps well into my old age.  Two camps ago it appeared that Joe Morrow could have made the big club as a teenager, and I had visions of grandeur associated with a blue line that had Letang, Morrow and Despres as the anchors along with Harrington, Strait and Bortuzzo.  Well folks upon further review, I think it is a great move for the Penguins as I read some of the pros and cons, and make my own opinion.  Those who are against the move cite a few major reasons;

The big time top four POTENTIAL of Joe Morrow;
The relatively lackluster season of Brenden Morrow thus far;
The rental nature and advancing age of Brenden Morrow;

Well, those are all points that are well taken, and in a vacuum all are totally true issues that can be chalked up in the con column.  But there are way too many arguments to the pro side of the equation.  First, and this ties back to my Sutter and two stud blue line prospects for Staal post, is the fact that Ray Shero has stockpiled blue chip defensive prospects for this very reason.  To improve the team's chances of winning the Stanley Cup NOW, and in the future.  According to Josh Yohe, the Penguins scouts have been said that both Olli Maata and Pouliot project to better pros than Morrow, and that does not even cover the emergence of Despres on the Penguins, Bortuzzo as the seventh defenseman on the Penguins this season, or the high regard for Brian Dumoulin and Scott Harrington among others in the system.  In other words, despite the POTENTIAL of Morrow, the Penguins blue line depth for now or the future is FAR from depleted by this move.  The world is full of blue chip prospects who never actually reach their POTENTIAL, ie Noah Welch, Angelo Esposito, Eric Tangradi, et al.  So to me, the Penguins decided to take advantage of a team who is poised atop the Conference, but possibly lacking some grit, leadership and size in the top 9 and they took a shot at winning NOW, without mortgaging the future at all.  But, did they get an aging rental who is past his prime?  Possibly they did.  But is that not what they got when they added Gary Roberts and Bill Guerin at past deadlines?  Did both of those players not add to the team in a way that led to a Finals trip and a Stanley Cup?  Has Noah Welch even played enough ever to be noticed as an NHL player much less win the Norris?  There you go!  And what did the Penguins get in Morrow?  They got a 6'0" and 210 lb LW, who has been the captain of the Stars since 2006-07.  They got a gritty player who goes hard to the net, and has 243 goals and 528 points in his regular season career to go with about 1200 PIMs who probably recognizes this stop as one that may represent his last best chance to hoist the Stanley Cup, no small matter for a fierce Canadian kid who won Gold representing his country in the 2010 Olympics, despite the availablity of younger kids.  He was selected for the grit and leadership he possessed, and he helped to deliver.  Is he on the downside of his carreer?  Sure he is, but he does not have to drive the numbers in Pittsburgh to lead them to the promised land.  He will clearly either add some drive and grit to the second line along with Neal and Malkin, creating even more space for those two guys, along with getting them the puck in battles along the boards, a la Chris Kunitz or he will match up with Sutter and Cooke, leaving Bennett to keep gaining his chemistry on the second line to give the Penguins a truly nasty to play against tough ass third line who can wear you out and score the occasional big goal. Or more than occasional GWG when you add the big goal potential of Morrow, who scored 3 of the Stars' game winning OT goals in their drive to the Finals, to clutch goal scoring of Brandon Sutter.  Folks, the Penguins are a much tougher match up problem for any opponent today than they were yesterday, and they gave up NOTHING from the roster today.  They took a man with POTENTIAL, albeit big time potential to take a shot at winning NOW.  And they took that man from a deep pool of others with POTENTIAL.  They also moved up two rounds in a deep 2103 draft with swapping of draft picks that occurred as well.  If Morrow is a rental and the Penguins make a deep run into the post season at least, still a good deal.  If he adds the depth, grit and character to win the Cup then it is a GREAT deal.  This move does not in any way guarantee the Penguins a deep playoff run, much less the Cup, but the teams who do win the Cup tend to be deep, balanced, gritty and defensively responsible.  The Penguins are more of all four of this things after this trade folks.  All in, nicely done!

More rants from the semi-intelligent

It was a good day at the barn today.  The Penguins put a good win in the record books by beating Division rival New York, 3-0 putting 14 points between them and the Rags in the standings.  Fleury also recorded his 23rd shutout, surpassing Tom BarASSHOLE as the Penguins leader in that category!  Congrats to Mr. Fleury!  He also moved to the top of the NHL in victories with 15, despite some modest personal stats, the kid seems to just win baby.   It was also great to see Beau Bennett net his second goal of the season and contribute some offense as he gets more and more comfortable in a top six role for Pittsburgh.  More important to me is the fact that the Penguins seem to have tightened up their defensive zone play over the past four games, and their penalty kill for now has gone from algatross to momentum builder, killing 9 of their past ten opportunities.  My boy Pascal Dupuis scored his 14th goal of the season, 13 of them at even strength, tying him with none other than Steven Stamkos for that honor!  Great for Duper!  Tyler Kennedy had a very good game and with LOTS of scouts in the building from other teams, particularly Columbus.  I would love to see Derek Dorsett on the Penguins to add some grit and nastiness on the bottom line.  Also, loved Sidney Crosby sticking up for Pascal Dupuis after Ryan McDonagh shoved Dupuis face first into the boards in a classic boarding call that the NHL supposedly wants to stop, but in typical garage league fashion, one of the turds on skates looked right at the play and let it go.  The Orpik/Martin pairing has looked solid and more like a shutdown pairing the past couple of games, and Eaton played a solid game paired up with Kris Letang.  Again, to me, Simon Despres did NOTHING to indicate that he should ever sit the pine again for Pittsburgh as a healthy scratch. Matt Niskanen is not afraid to fire the biscuit from the point either!  The Penguins looked amazing in period one, pretty awful in period two where Fleury held the line, and in what has become the norm of late, they displayed a killer instinct in period three to put a division rival away.  In fact, Pittsburgh has beaten the Rags now in seven straight games.  It was good to see contributions from Dustin Jeffrey and Tyler Kennedy, though it may be more for the addition of trade value for one or both.  I don't think DJ is a bad player, but he does not seem to have quite enough skill to play a top six role nor enough grit to be much on the bottom six.  He is however a good utility guy who can contribute a bit anywhere in a pinch in my opinion.  I think that Kennedy has been a much better player of late, but still believe that for 2M from a pending UFA who is smallish and inconsistent, if somebody takes the bait, goodbye Mr. Kennedy, thanks fort the memories!  I was a big fan of the Tanner Glass signing based on him being a top 10 hitter in the NHL last season as well as a solid shot blocker.  I am not so sure now that I like that deal for Pittsburgh, and to me, anybody on the line 4 is fair game to be replaced if the right opportunity would present itself.  In a perfect world, I love the thought of Chris Stewart becoming a Penguin in a hockey trade, a solid veteran defenseman who can clear the net,  even if a rental and some swapping of assets from our bottom six, draft picks, and prospects to add some veteran leadership and grit on the bottom six.  I do not want to see Despres moved at all, and I would only move Dumoulin or Morrow in a deal that brought back a Chris Stewart type asset.  I know that they would still needs to add to either of them to get a Stewart, but I think Stewart would change the whole dynamic of our top six in terms of added toughness and net front presence.  If Wayne Simmonds is available as is rumored, that is another player who would add a ton up front for Pittsburgh, but I am not sure if those two organizations would dance.  Let's see, an interesting couple of weeks are pending.

Sutter....he is kind of good

Some of this post will be redundant if you are one of the few crazy enough to read my posts on a regular basis.  I posted right after the Sutter/Staal trade was announced that I thought given the circumstances in which Staal had rejected a ten year/60 million dollar offer from the Penguins, and was one season away from being a UFA, the fact that Shero got a player the caliber of Sutter in return for Staal amazed me.  If you add to that the fact that he ALSO got former 2nd round pick Brian Dumoulin, a highly touted 6'4" defenseman, and the 8th overall pick which turned out to be Derrick Poulliot in addition to Sutter for soon to be UFA Staal, the deal seemed to be an unreal return given the circumstances.  Staal is a player who will remain a favorite of mine, a player who filled my head with so many memories, not the least of which was the shorthanded goal he scored in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals in 2009, that to me, not only tied the game at 2-2, but likely turned the tide of the series in favor of the Penguins, and ultimately led to the third Stanley Cup in Penguins history!

I will never forget that moment, as the goal was scored right in front of my family, and the building erupted!  I wish Staalsy could have remained a Penguin, but if he had to go, I am pretty happy with the return when you analyze it in full.  Sutter carries a 2M less cap hit this season, and 4M less cap hit than Staal next season, which will allow the Penguins to carry some other talent on top of Sutter to replace Staalsy.  To put this in perspective, Sutter and Kunitz combined will be just under the Staal cap hit for next season.  I think it is safe to say that if thought of in those terms, the deal looks pretty damn good for Pittsburgh.  If you factor in the value that Dumoulin and Pouliot will add either by growing into their top two pairing projections or by getting a return as part of another trade for Pittsburgh either directly or indirectly, the return value is pretty amazing.  Staal definitely wanted the chance to be a top 2 line center, and given the fact he was kind of close to his brother Eric, getting this package for Staal is even more impressive.

In short the value of Sutter, the additional cap space, and the long term value of the Dumoulin and Pouliot portion of the trade, this will be a very adequate replacement of a player even the caliber of Jordan Staal.  The impatient fan base here was a little tough on Sutter when he was slow to start from an offensive standpoint, forgetting that he not only had to deal with a completely different system, different linemantes/teammates, but he did that without the normal benefit of a training camp and exhibition games.  The condensed schedule also cut down on practice time between games, so Sutter had a lot of extra issues that would hinder anybody making such a change in job status.  And oh yeah, the penalty kill woes were also blamed on Sutter by some.  Well folks, the PK after nearly two years of top performance starting to suck on this level in March of last year, and remained a thorn in the side of the Pens and a key reason for their playoff woes while Staal was still the key player on the unit.  It did not slide due to Sutter taking Staal's place.  It is also important to note that although it is a small sample size, Sutter currently has goals against of 1.7 GA per 60 minutes, while Staal currently has a 3.7 GA per 60 minutes and had a 2.8 GA per 60 minutes last year.  Sutter has 8 goals to Staal's 6 despite minimal power play time, and being saddled most nights with Tyler Kennedy on his wing.  That is like taking a butter knife to a gunfight!  Sutter also has a +6 rating for the year compared to Staal's -3.  Staal does have 12 assists to Sutter's 5, but he also gets far more power play time, and plays with far better wingers.  As far as clutch goals, Sutter is 9th in the league with 3 game winning goals, and should have had a goal v Philadelphia that would have stolen at least a point in the last minute if Vokoun had been able to find his ass with either hand that night.  The fact that Voracek killed the improbable comeback 33 seconds later had no bearing on the fact that Sutter had shown us a glimpse of the near future by scoring a clutch goal for the Penguins!  Some of those goals are to follow here:

GWG 2.5.13 v Islanders

Game tying goal 2.20.13 v Flyers

Gamre tying and game winning goals v Boston

Jordan Staal will be a favorite player of mine forever, but I am sure Brandon Sutter will rank right up there over time, providing plenty of his own memories.  Bank on it!